Marriott Balanced FoF comment - Sep 19 - Fund Manager Comment22 Oct 2019
The third quarter of 2019 was characterised by continued market volatility and further declines in global bond yields. Negative interest rates in Japan and the Eurozone, and mounting expectations that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates several more times in the months ahead, have expanded the pool of bonds with sub-zero yields to more than $15 trillion – or around 25% of the global bond market. In Germany, yields are negative all the way from cash deposits to 30 year bonds. In Switzerland, negative yields extend all the way out to 50 year bonds.
Against this backdrop it is unsurprising that first-world companies offering decent dividend yields are in high demand and continue to produce solid returns. Not only are the yields of high quality dividend payers like Nestlé and Coca-Cola relatively attractive, “defensive” products and strong balance sheets suggest they will continue to increase dividends despite tough conditions. Consequently, we continue to maximise investors exposure to offshore companies with these characteristics.
A solid foundation of quality dividend payers, as well as a relatively high exposure to offshore markets and high yielding 3 – 5 year bank deposits largely explains the resilient performance of the Marriott Balanced Fund in recent years. We are pleased to report that the fund has outperformed the sector average from both an income produced and total return perspective over 1, 3, 5, 7 and 10 year periods. Looking ahead, we continue to expect the portfolio to serve investors well as our income focused investment style which emphasises quality – companies that are resilient to changing economics, politics and technology – is well suited to the current macro-environment. The fund’s current yield of approximately 4% is also significantly higher than the average multi asset high equity fund yield of 2.8%. This high level of income is useful for retired investors drawing an income as it will assist in minimising capital erosion in volatile markets – the key to a more predictable retirement outcome.